![]() ![]() It is as-of-yet unclear who the GOP nominee will be. Per this poll, Biden is underwater 12 percent (41 percent approve and 53 percent disapprove).ĭemocrat Sen. ![]() State-by-state, Biden’s sinking approval rating - and rising disapproval - could have serious consequences, as follows: And of course, these poor performance numbers for Biden could spoil more House Democrat candidates than would otherwise lose or leave, having a trickling negative effect on the party. In addition, governors’ races nationwide also represent an opportunity for Republicans to make some gains. Pickup opportunities for Republicans to take one back from Democrats include Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Colorado, and possibly Illinois. To get that majority back, in addition to flipping one Democrat seat, Republicans need to hold seats in Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania - all of which have retiring Republican senators - as well as in Wisconsin, Iowa, and Florida, where as of now the incumbent Republican senators are running for reelection. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of Calif., speaks during a news conference on Capitol Hill in Washington, Thursday, May 13, 2021. But to retake the Senate, the GOP needs to flip just one net seat back from Democrat control - which may seem like an easier task but, given the map, is actually a bit harder than retaking the House because the GOP needs to defend several seats with retiring longtime senators. Ron Kind (D-WI) combined with coming redistricting along with already-completed reapportionment of congressional districts portends badly for their chances on that front. In this case, if the 2022 midterms were held today, Biden could be a serious drag on Democrats in House to Senate to governor races coast to coast.įor Republicans to retake the House majority next year, they need to only win back a net five pickups from Democrats - and several retirements of senior Democrats like Rep. These numbers are important because presidents typically help candidates from their party down-ticket. That inoculated Obama and Trump from a total wipeout. One problem Biden has is that he doesn't have much "crawl-over-broken-glass-twice-to-vote-for-him" type support. Sean Trende, the senior elections analyst for RealClearPolitics, noted the disastrous numbers for Biden and Democrats, suggesting also that Biden’s lack of hardcore supporters means he and his party could be headed for a scenario in which they “completely collapse” next year: ![]() This is not encouraging for Democrats hoping to hold the Senate. The only state this survey shows Biden above water in - New Hampshire - has him up by a slim margin, but a separate survey published Wednesday showed Biden underwater there too. Per this survey, Biden’s disapproval rating is higher than his approval rating in several key states in the upcoming midterm elections, including in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia, and Wisconsin. President Joe Biden’s approval rating is massively underwater in several states nationwide heading into the 2022 midterm elections after his deadly Afghanistan withdrawal, according to polling by Civiqs. ![]()
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